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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethesda

Tract 24031705701 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,483 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 24031705701 sits in the Springfield area of Bethesda eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 4,483 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$202,841

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Springfield
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Moderate
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#676 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethesda and the region

Centroid at 38.9658, -77.1157 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springfield scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,681 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2

How Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 7057016.3Bethesdaparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springfield

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.0% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Average gross rent is $2,681, 9% above the Bethesda average. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $202,841, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031705701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031705701?

Census tract 24031705701 in the Springfield neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031705701?

Median gross rent is $2,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031705701?

4.4% of residents in tract 24031705701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031705701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 49th, minority 34th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 24031705701 considered part of Springfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031705701 fall within Springfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031705701 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031705701 compare to Bethesda overall?

Tract 24031705701 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda

Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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