Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethesda
Tract 24031705701 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,483 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 24031705701 sits in the Springfield area of Bethesda eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 4,483 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 13%Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$202,841
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Springfield
Moderate
Within parent city
47th percentile
#10 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Moderate
Within county
39th percentile
#143 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
54th percentile
#676 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 38.9658, -77.1157 · click any tract to drill in
Why Springfield scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,681 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2
How Springfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
19%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.7%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
3.6%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
10.8%Frequent mental distress
18.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Springfield
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10.
Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
Food insecurity runs 6.0% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Average gross rent is $2,681, 9% above the Bethesda average. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $202,841, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031705701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031705701?
Census tract 24031705701 in the Springfield neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031705701?
Median gross rent is $2,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031705701?
4.4% of residents in tract 24031705701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,483.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031705701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 49th, minority 34th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 24031705701 considered part of Springfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031705701 fall within Springfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031705701 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031705701 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031705701 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda
Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.