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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Springfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Bethesda

Tract 24031705701 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,483 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

In Springfield in Bethesda, census tract 24031705701 scores 6.9/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,681 a month while the average household earns $202,841 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 13% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$202,841

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Springfield
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Moderate
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#170 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,188 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethesda and the region

Centroid at 38.9658, -77.1157 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springfield scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,681 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2

How Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 705701Bethesda: 6.06.0Bethesdaparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springfield

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031705701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031705701?

Census tract 24031705701 in the Springfield neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031705701?

Median gross rent is $2,681/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031705701?

4.4% of residents in tract 24031705701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031705701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 49th, minority 34th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 24031705701 considered part of Springfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031705701 fall within Springfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031705701 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031705701 compare to Bethesda overall?

Tract 24031705701 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda

Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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