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Neighborhood · Bethesda, MD

Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,483 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Springfield maps to a single census tract in Bethesda, MD, population 4,483. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 44%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Bethesda rate of 28.7%. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10. The voucher gap is 15.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation is 3.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

4.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. At $2,681 a month, rents sit 9% over what the rest of Bethesda commands.

Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Bethesda, it ranks #8 by risk, the middle third. Against average income of $202,841, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Springfield vs Bethesda How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.3% +96%
Bethesda: 28.7%
Average gross rent
$2,681 +9%
Bethesda: $2,469
Average HH income
$202,841 +6%
Bethesda: $191,348
Poverty rate
4.4% +11%
Bethesda: 4.0%
Renter share
29.4% -18%
Bethesda: 36.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Springfield scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
4.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Risk score comparison

Springfield vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Springfield score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5SpringfieldNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Springfield

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031705701 5.5 4,483 56% $2,681
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Springfield

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Springfield

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Springfield?

Springfield scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Springfield compare to Bethesda overall?

Springfield scores 0.8 points lower than Bethesda overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,681 vs $2,469.
Q3

What is the average rent in Springfield?

Average gross rent in Springfield is $2,681/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Springfield residents are renters?

29% of Springfield households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Bethesda). The neighborhood has 4,483 residents.
Q5

Is Springfield a high social-vulnerability area?

Springfield sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Springfield for landlords?

Springfield carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethesda as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Springfield?

Springfield has 4,657 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.3%), Hispanic / Latino (6.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Springfield

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bethesda

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Springfield.

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