Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Sumner Eviction Risk: Lower , Bethesda
Tract 24031705702 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,602 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 24031705702 runs through Sumner in Bethesda. With 4,602 residents, it scores 7.1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #3,593 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $210,917 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,686
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$210,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 38.9542, -77.1109 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sumner scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2
How Sumner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.2%Housing insecurity
- 2.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.2%Food insecurity
- 2.4%SNAP enrollment
- 2.8%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 9.3%Frequent mental distress
- 19.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sumner
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031705702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031705702?
Census tract 24031705702 in the Sumner neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031705702?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031705702?
2.4% of residents in tract 24031705702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,602.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031705702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 64th, minority 41th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 24031705702 considered part of Sumner?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031705702 fall within Sumner (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031705702 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031705702 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031705702 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda
Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Woodmont Triangle
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Alta Vista
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Downtown Bethesda
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Brookdale
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Kenwood
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Green Tree Manor
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
South Bethesda
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Downtown Bethesda
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
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