Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Scotland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Potomac

Tract 24031706012 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,460 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

24031706012 is a census tract in the Scotland area of Potomac, MD. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,460 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 29% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,844

Renter share48.3%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate18.0%

Median income$74,063

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Potomac and the region

Centroid at 39.0301, -77.1524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scotland scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Potomac

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

18.0% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,721 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Potomac

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Potomac

3.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Potomac

3.7

How Scotland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
11.5%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
11.5%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scotland

At $1,721 a month, rents run 40% under what the rest of Potomac commands. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0.

Cost burden runs 41% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $74,063. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031706012

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031706012?

Census tract 24031706012 in the Scotland neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031706012?

Median gross rent is $1,721/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031706012?

18.0% of residents in tract 24031706012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,460.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031706012?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 93th, minority 73th, housing 68th.

Is tract 24031706012 considered part of Scotland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031706012 fall within Scotland (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031706012 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031706012 compare to Potomac overall?

Tract 24031706012 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Potomac at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Potomac eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Potomac

Top eight tracts in Potomac ranked by composite eviction-risk score.