Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
South End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hagerstown
Tract 24043001001 · Washington County, MD · pop 4,484 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 24043001001 runs through the South End area of Hagerstown. With 4,484 residents, it scores 6.5/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $892 a month against an average household income of $60,244 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,878
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$60,244
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hagerstown and the region
Centroid at 39.6195, -77.7436 · click any tract to drill in
Why South End scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hagerstown
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$892 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hagerstown
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hagerstown
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hagerstown
6.3
How South End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.7%Food insecurity
- 16.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South End
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 6.4 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24043001001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24043001001?
Census tract 24043001001 in the South End neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24043001001?
Median gross rent is $892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24043001001?
12.9% of residents in tract 24043001001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,484.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24043001001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 90th, minority 35th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 24043001001 considered part of South End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24043001001 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24043001001 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24043001001 compare to Hagerstown overall?
Tract 24043001001 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Hagerstown at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hagerstown
Top eight tracts in Hagerstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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