Neighborhood · Hagerstown, MD

South End Eviction Risk: Elevated

6 census tracts · pop 19,254 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 4.4–7.3

South End is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Hagerstown with 6 census tracts and a population of 19,254 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $913/month sits 18% lower than the Hagerstown citywide average ($1,114).

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

6 tracts · population-weighted

South End vs Hagerstown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.1% +48%

Hagerstown: 31.1%

Average gross rent

$913 -18%

Hagerstown: $1,114

Average HH income

$44,387 -11%

Hagerstown: $49,957

Poverty rate

23.2% +2%

Hagerstown: 22.7%

Renter share

58.2% +3%

Hagerstown: 56.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South End and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.4–7.3

Why South End scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

46% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.3 across tracts

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

58% renter households · Range 6.6–9.5 across tracts

8.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–7.7 across tracts

7.4

Economic stress

23.2% below poverty line · Range 2.8–9.0 across tracts

5.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.6 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

South End vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South End?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.9 points from 4.4 to 7.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

7.3 7.2 7.1 6.5 5.3 4.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in South End

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24043000800	7.3	3,648	51%	$813
24043000700	7.2	3,158	55%	$771
24043000400	7.1	1,879	43%	$613
24043000302	6.5	2,859	57%	$1,187
24043000602	5.3	3,226	27%	$1,125
24043001001	4.4	4,484	43%	$892

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 71%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South End

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

20.2%Housing insecurity
14.9%Utility shutoff threat
26.4%Food insecurity
27.0%SNAP enrollment
12.6%No health insurance
40.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About South End

What is the eviction-risk score for South End?

South End scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does South End compare to Hagerstown overall?

South End scores 0.1 points higher than Hagerstown overall (6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $913 vs $1,114.

What is the average rent in South End?

Average gross rent in South End is $913/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of South End residents are renters?

58% of South End households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Hagerstown). The neighborhood has 19,254 residents.

Is South End a high social-vulnerability area?

South End sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in South End have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South End is census tract 24043000800 (score 7.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 7.3, a spread of 2.9 points.

How safe is South End for landlords?

South End carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hagerstown as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of South End?

South End has 19,091 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Other / Multiracial (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South End

5.2 Fountainhead 2 tracts · pop 7,765 2.9 Orchard Hills 2 tracts · pop 11,808 4.7 Cloverton 2 tracts · pop 6,612

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Hagerstown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South End.

5 Fountainhead 2 tracts · pop 7,765

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