6 census tracts · pop 19,254 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10
· range 5.2–7.9
South End takes in 6 census tracts of Hagerstown, MD, population 19,254. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.1/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 31.1% citywide, putting South End 15.0% over its own city.
The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.2 to 7.9, a 2.7-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 28.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. At $913 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Hagerstown commands. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.4/10.
Food insecurity affects 27.7% of adults, 9.9 points above the national rate. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $44,387. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
6 tracts · population-weighted
South End vs HagerstownHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South End
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.2%Housing insecurity
14.9%Utility shutoff threat
26.4%Food insecurity
27.0%SNAP enrollment
12.6%No health insurance
40.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South End
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South End?
South End scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South End compare to Hagerstown overall?
South End scores 0.6 points higher than Hagerstown overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $913 vs $1,114.
Q3
What is the average rent in South End?
Average gross rent in South End is $913/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South End residents are renters?
58% of South End households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Hagerstown). The neighborhood has 19,254 residents.
Q5
Is South End a high social-vulnerability area?
South End sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South End have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South End is census tract 24043000800 (score 7.9/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 7.9, a spread of 2.7 points.
Q7
How safe is South End for landlords?
South End carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Hagerstown as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South End?
South End has 19,091 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Other / Multiracial (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
