Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

South End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hagerstown

Tract 24043000602 · Washington County, MD · pop 3,226 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 6.3/10, tract 24043000602 in South End in Hagerstown ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,226 residents. That is riskier than about 83% of US census tracts.

About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,125 a month against an average household income of $63,375 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 28% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units1,647

Renter share39.1%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$63,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hagerstown and the region

Centroid at 39.6190, -77.7160 · click any tract to drill in

Why South End scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Hagerstown

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,125 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Hagerstown

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.7

How South End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
35.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South End

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 6.4 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24043000602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24043000602?

Census tract 24043000602 in the South End neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24043000602?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24043000602?

11.4% of residents in tract 24043000602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,226.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24043000602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 65th, minority 40th, housing 38th.

Is tract 24043000602 considered part of South End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24043000602 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24043000602 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24043000602 compare to Hagerstown overall?

Tract 24043000602 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Hagerstown at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hagerstown

Top eight tracts in Hagerstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.