Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

South End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Hagerstown

Tract 24043000700 · Washington County, MD · pop 3,158 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 24043000700 sits in the South End area of Hagerstown eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 3,158 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 32% Owners 28%

Tract context

Occupied units1,448

Renter share72.0%

SVI overall0.87

Poverty rate35.9%

Median income$33,134

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hagerstown and the region

Centroid at 39.6315, -77.7204 · click any tract to drill in

Why South End scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Hagerstown

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

35.9% poverty · this tract

9.0

Supply constraint

$771 rent vs county FMR

1.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Hagerstown

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.7

How South End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.8%Housing insecurity
18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
32.7%Food insecurity
35.9%SNAP enrollment
16.4%Transit barriers
13.7%No health insurance
21.8%Frequent mental distress
43.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South End

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10. It sits 2.5 points above the Washington County average of 5.4.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10. Against Washington County at 42.4%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9/10. Average gross rent is $771, 31% below the Hagerstown average.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Housing insecurity runs 23.8% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24043000700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24043000700?

Census tract 24043000700 in the South End neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24043000700?

Median gross rent is $771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24043000700?

35.9% of residents in tract 24043000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,158.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24043000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 72th, minority 72th, housing 73th.

Is tract 24043000700 considered part of South End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24043000700 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24043000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24043000700 compare to Hagerstown overall?

Tract 24043000700 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Hagerstown at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hagerstown

Top eight tracts in Hagerstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.