Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

South End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Hagerstown

Tract 24043000302 · Washington County, MD · pop 2,859 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 24043000302, home to 2,859 residents in the South End neighborhood of Hagerstown, scores 7.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #2,144 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,187 a month against an average household income of $42,108 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 25% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units878

Renter share58.7%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate22.5%

Median income$42,108

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hagerstown and the region

Centroid at 39.6495, -77.7278 · click any tract to drill in

Why South End scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Hagerstown

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

22.5% poverty · this tract

5.6

Supply constraint

$1,187 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Hagerstown

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Hagerstown

7.7

How South End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.3%Housing insecurity
17.8%Utility-shutoff threat
31.7%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
16.0%Transit barriers
15.0%No health insurance
22.8%Frequent mental distress
41.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South End

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 6.4 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24043000302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24043000302?

Census tract 24043000302 in the South End neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24043000302?

Median gross rent is $1,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24043000302?

22.5% of residents in tract 24043000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,859.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24043000302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 78th, minority 47th, housing 59th.

Is tract 24043000302 considered part of South End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24043000302 fall within South End (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24043000302 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24043000302 compare to Hagerstown overall?

Tract 24043000302 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Hagerstown at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hagerstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hagerstown

Top eight tracts in Hagerstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.