Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Upton Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510140200 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 2,803 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Upton in Baltimore is where census tract 24510140200 sits, home to 2,803 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.8/10. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,108 a month while the average household earns $41,270 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 30% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,048
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate50.2%
Median income$41,270

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Upton
Very Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#34 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3038, -76.6322 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upton scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
50.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,108 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Upton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 140200Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upton

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 35.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 27.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510140200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510140200?

Census tract 24510140200 in the Upton neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510140200?

Median gross rent is $1,108/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510140200?

50.2% of residents in tract 24510140200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,803.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510140200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 71th, minority 92th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 24510140200 considered part of Upton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510140200 fall within Upton (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510140200 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510140200 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510140200 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510140200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related