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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

Tract 24510200200 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,827 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24510200200 covers part of the Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach area of Baltimore, MD, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,827 residents. 70% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 9% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units674
Renter share57.7%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate45.8%
Median income$26,836

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach
Moderate
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2909, -76.6588 · click any tract to drill in

Why Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
45.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,214 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 2002006.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach

Against Baltimore City at 50.2%, 85% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 54% of average household income of $26,836, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Food insecurity runs 57.1% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, economic stress reads 10/10.

Disability prevalence runs 53.6% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. At $1,214 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510200200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510200200?

Census tract 24510200200 in the Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510200200?

Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510200200?

45.8% of residents in tract 24510200200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,827.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510200200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 99th, minority 95th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 24510200200 considered part of Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510200200 fall within Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510200200 struggle to pay rent?

About 41.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510200200 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510200200 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510200200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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