Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lynn

Tract 25009205900 · Essex County, MA · pop 4,574 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 25009205900 covers part of the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn, MA, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 27% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,487

Renter share47.9%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate13.7%

Median income$95,388

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4685, -70.9687 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

13.7% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$2,195 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.8%Housing insecurity
11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
22.5%Food insecurity
22.2%SNAP enrollment
11.8%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Average gross rent is $2,195, 27% above the Lynn average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Essex County average of 50.7%. SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $95,388. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009205900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009205900?

Census tract 25009205900 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009205900?

Median gross rent is $2,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009205900?

13.7% of residents in tract 25009205900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,574.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009205900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 66th, minority 76th, housing 69th.

Is tract 25009205900 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009205900 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009205900 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009205900 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009205900 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lynn at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.