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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lynn

Tract 25009206000 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,552 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 25009206000 sits in the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. Population here is 3,552. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 28% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,141
Renter share70.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$49,293

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Central Square Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 22 tracts In Lynn
Elevated
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 173 tracts In Essex County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#320 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4657, -70.9624 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynn
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,594 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynn
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynn
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynn
7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 2060006.6Lynnparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $49,293 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Cost burden runs 60% here against 50.7% across Essex County. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 30.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,594, close to the Lynn average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009206000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009206000?

Census tract 25009206000 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009206000?

Median gross rent is $1,594/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009206000?

9.7% of residents in tract 25009206000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,552.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009206000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 75th, minority 84th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 25009206000 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009206000 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25009206000 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25009206000 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009206000 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lynn at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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