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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

American Woolen Mill Housing District Eviction Risk: High , Lawrence

Tract 25009251500 · Essex County, MA · pop 7,054 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 9/10, tract 25009251500 in the American Woolen Mill Housing District area of Lawrence eviction risk, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,054. It sits 3.0 points above the Essex County average of 6.0.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 36% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units2,572
Renter share77.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$61,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In American Woolen Mill Housing District
Very High
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 18 tracts In Lawrence
Elevated
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 173 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.6905, -71.1764 · click any tract to drill in

Why American Woolen Mill Housing District scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lawrence
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,544 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lawrence
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lawrence
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lawrence
7.9

How American Woolen Mill Housing District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
American Woolen Mill Housing District risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.0This tracttract 2515007.6Lawrenceparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within American Woolen Mill Housing District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in American Woolen Mill Housing District

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 32.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009251500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009251500?

Census tract 25009251500 in the American Woolen Mill Housing District neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009251500?

Median gross rent is $1,544/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009251500?

17.3% of residents in tract 25009251500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,054.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009251500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 97th, minority 89th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 25009251500 considered part of American Woolen Mill Housing District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009251500 fall within American Woolen Mill Housing District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25009251500 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25009251500 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009251500 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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