Arlington-Basswood Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lawrence

The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Food insecurity runs 41.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Against Essex County at 50.7%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $57,260, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.4% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.