American Woolen Mill Housing District Eviction Risk: High , Lawrence

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $66,166 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. SNAP participation runs 31.9% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 32.4% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,948, 17% above the Lawrence average.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.