Downtown Lawrence Historic District Eviction Risk: High

Average gross rent is $728, 56% below the Lawrence average. SNAP participation runs 42.4% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

This is renter territory: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $22,746 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.