Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

East Springfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25013800201 · Hampden County, MA · pop 6,016 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 25013800201 covers the East Springfield neighborhood of Springfield in Massachusetts. Home to 6,016 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,358 a month while the average household earns $69,857 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 8% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units2,423

Renter share24.1%

SVI overall0.76

Poverty rate16.4%

Median income$69,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1412, -72.5605 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Springfield scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

16.4% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$1,358 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How East Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Springfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.1%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
25.5%Food insecurity
29.1%SNAP enrollment
13.1%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
19.7%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Springfield

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013800201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013800201?

Census tract 25013800201 in the East Springfield neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013800201?

Median gross rent is $1,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013800201?

16.4% of residents in tract 25013800201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,016.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013800201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 86th, minority 80th, housing 52th.

Is tract 25013800201 considered part of East Springfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013800201 fall within East Springfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013800201 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013800201 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013800201 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25013800201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.