Ludlow Mills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield
Tract 25013800102 ·
Hampden County, MA · pop 4,752 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 7.9/10, tract 25013800102 in the Ludlow Mills area of Springfield, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,752. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%Stable renters 39%Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,766
Renter share75.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$54,052
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Ludlow Mills
Very High
Within parent city
56th percentile
#17 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Elevated
Within county
77th percentile
#25 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
High
Within state
80th percentile
#320 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 42.1556, -72.5000 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ludlow Mills scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,277 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
How Ludlow Mills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
90%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ludlow Mills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
27.9%Housing insecurity
18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
33.4%Food insecurity
39.7%SNAP enrollment
17.5%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
22.2%Frequent mental distress
40.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ludlow Mills
It sits 2.1 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 27.9% against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. At $1,277 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Springfield commands. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25013800102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013800102?
Census tract 25013800102 in the Ludlow Mills neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25013800102?
Median gross rent is $1,277/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25013800102?
23.0% of residents in tract 25013800102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,752.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25013800102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 98th, minority 79th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 25013800102 considered part of Ludlow Mills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013800102 fall within Ludlow Mills (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25013800102 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25013800102 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 25013800102 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.