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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

East Springfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25013800202 · Hampden County, MA · pop 1,487 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 25013800202 sits in the East Springfield area of Springfield eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Against Hampden County at 46.5%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 14% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units523
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$77,279

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In East Springfield
Very Low
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#604 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1487, -72.5337 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Springfield scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$974 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How East Springfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Springfield risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 8002026.5Springfieldparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Springfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Springfield

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. At $974 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Springfield commands.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Against average income of $77,279, annual rent is just 15%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013800202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013800202?

Census tract 25013800202 in the East Springfield neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013800202?

Median gross rent is $974/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013800202?

16.8% of residents in tract 25013800202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,487.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013800202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 99th, minority 72th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 25013800202 considered part of East Springfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013800202 fall within East Springfield (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013800202 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013800202 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013800202 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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