Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Worthington Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield
Tract 25013800500 ·
Hampden County, MA · pop 4,022 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 25013800500 covers part of the Upper Worthington Historic District area of Springfield, MA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,022 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%Stable renters 23%Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,234
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$64,235
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Upper Worthington Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
25th percentile
#28 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Low
Within county
58th percentile
#44 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
58th percentile
#678 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 42.1233, -72.5990 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Worthington Historic District scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,400 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
How Upper Worthington Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
61%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Upper Worthington Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
24.5%Housing insecurity
14.6%Utility-shutoff threat
29.2%Food insecurity
31.8%SNAP enrollment
14.9%Transit barriers
15.6%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
38.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Worthington Historic District
Average gross rent is $1,400, 22% above the Springfield average. Food insecurity runs 29.2% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.
Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $64,235.
47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25013800500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013800500?
Census tract 25013800500 in the Upper Worthington Historic District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25013800500?
Median gross rent is $1,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25013800500?
12.8% of residents in tract 25013800500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,022.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25013800500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 99th, minority 81th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 25013800500 considered part of Upper Worthington Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013800500 fall within Upper Worthington Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25013800500 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25013800500 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 25013800500 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.