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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Worthington Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 25013800500 · Hampden County, MA · pop 4,022 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 25013800500 sits in Upper Worthington Historic District in Springfield eviction risk, Massachusetts eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.9/10. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,400 a month while the average household earns $64,235 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 23% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,234
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$64,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Upper Worthington Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Low
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#338 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1233, -72.5990 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Worthington Historic District scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,400 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How Upper Worthington Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upper Worthington Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 800500Springfield: 6.76.7Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper Worthington Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Worthington Historic District

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013800500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013800500?

Census tract 25013800500 in the Upper Worthington Historic District neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013800500?

Median gross rent is $1,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013800500?

12.8% of residents in tract 25013800500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,022.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013800500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 99th, minority 81th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 25013800500 considered part of Upper Worthington Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013800500 fall within Upper Worthington Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013800500 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013800500 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013800500 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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