Upper Worthington Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Average gross rent is $506, 56% below the Springfield average. Food insecurity runs 55.1% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 39.8% against 14.2% nationally. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Cost burden runs 61% here against 46.5% across Hampden County. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $15,539, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.