Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
East Forest Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield
Tract 25013802500 ·
Hampden County, MA · pop 6,861 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 6/10, tract 25013802500 in the East Forest Park area of Springfield, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,861. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 10%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,658
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$81,626
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In East Forest Park
Moderate
Within parent city
11th percentile
#33 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Very Low
Within county
48th percentile
#55 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Moderate
Within state
50th percentile
#811 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 42.0898, -72.5280 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Forest Park scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,406 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
How East Forest Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
42%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.0%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
17.5%SNAP enrollment
8.7%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Forest Park
21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,406 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Springfield commands.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10. Cost burden runs 42% here against 46.5% across Hampden County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Hampden County average of 5.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $81,626.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25013802500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802500?
Census tract 25013802500 in the East Forest Park neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25013802500?
Median gross rent is $1,406/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802500?
10.8% of residents in tract 25013802500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,861.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 64th, minority 64th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 25013802500 considered part of East Forest Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802500 fall within East Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25013802500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25013802500 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 25013802500 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.