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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

East Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 25013802500 · Hampden County, MA · pop 6,861 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.6/10 for census tract 25013802500 reflects conditions in the East Forest Park neighborhood of Springfield, Massachusetts. On the national scale it ranks #9,471 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,406 a month against an average household income of $81,626 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 10% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,658
Renter share18.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$81,626

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Forest Park
Moderate
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Moderate
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#450 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0898, -72.5280 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Forest Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,406 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How East Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Forest Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 802500Springfield: 6.76.7Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Forest Park

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013802500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802500?

Census tract 25013802500 in the East Forest Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013802500?

Median gross rent is $1,406/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802500?

10.8% of residents in tract 25013802500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,861.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 64th, minority 64th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 25013802500 considered part of East Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802500 fall within East Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013802500 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013802500 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013802500 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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