Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Chicopee Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25013810601 · Hampden County, MA · pop 4,075 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 25013810601 runs through the Chicopee Falls neighborhood of Chicopee. With 4,075 residents, it scores 6.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,226 a month against an average household income of $67,847 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 22% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units2,033

Renter share42.9%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate16.6%

Median income$67,847

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.1652, -72.5821 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chicopee Falls scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicopee

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

16.6% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$1,226 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicopee

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicopee

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicopee

6.7

How Chicopee Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
45%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chicopee Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.2%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
19.3%Food insecurity
24.5%SNAP enrollment
10.5%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
39.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chicopee Falls

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013810601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013810601?

Census tract 25013810601 in the Chicopee Falls neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013810601?

Median gross rent is $1,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013810601?

16.6% of residents in tract 25013810601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,075.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013810601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 85th, minority 40th, housing 47th.

Is tract 25013810601 considered part of Chicopee Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013810601 fall within Chicopee Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013810601 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013810601 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013810601 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Chicopee at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25013810601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.