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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Chicopee Falls Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25013810700 · Hampden County, MA · pop 6,383 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 25013810700 covers part of the Chicopee Falls area of Chicopee, MA, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,383 residents. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 29% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,624
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$64,018

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Chicopee Falls
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 12 tracts In Chicopee
Very High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#377 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.1542, -72.5669 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chicopee Falls scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicopee
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,174 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicopee
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicopee
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicopee
6.7

How Chicopee Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chicopee Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 8107006.3Chicopeeparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chicopee Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chicopee Falls

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. SNAP participation runs 28.1% against 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Hampden County average of 46.5%.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Holyoke Chicopee. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,174, close to the Chicopee average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $64,018.

50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013810700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013810700?

Census tract 25013810700 in the Chicopee Falls neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013810700?

Median gross rent is $1,174/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013810700?

25.6% of residents in tract 25013810700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,383.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013810700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 98th, minority 60th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 25013810700 considered part of Chicopee Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013810700 fall within Chicopee Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013810700 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013810700 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013810700 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicopee at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25013810700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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