Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Chicopee Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25013810700 · Hampden County, MA · pop 6,383 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25013810700 (the Chicopee Falls neighborhood of Chicopee, Massachusetts) comes in at $1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #4,611 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,174 a month while the average household earns $64,018 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 29% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units2,624

Renter share50.2%

SVI overall0.76

Poverty rate25.6%

Median income$64,018

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.1542, -72.5669 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chicopee Falls scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicopee

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

25.6% poverty · this tract

6.4

Supply constraint

$1,174 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicopee

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicopee

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicopee

6.7

How Chicopee Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
21%Grade B
68%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chicopee Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.8%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
21.8%Food insecurity
28.1%SNAP enrollment
12.0%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chicopee Falls

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013810700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013810700?

Census tract 25013810700 in the Chicopee Falls neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013810700?

Median gross rent is $1,174/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013810700?

25.6% of residents in tract 25013810700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,383.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013810700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 98th, minority 60th, housing 22th.

Is tract 25013810700 considered part of Chicopee Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013810700 fall within Chicopee Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013810700 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013810700 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013810700 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicopee at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25013810700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.