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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Somerville

Tract 25017351001 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,956 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 7.5/10, tract 25017351001 in the Spring Hill area of Somerville, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,956 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 38% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,887
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$139,506

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Spring Hill
Very High
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 25 tracts In Somerville
Low
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#103 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#423 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Somerville and the region

Centroid at 42.3873, -71.1137 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Hill scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,513 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0

How Spring Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spring Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 3510017.9Somervilleparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spring Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Hill

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.1% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017351001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017351001?

Census tract 25017351001 in the Spring Hill neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017351001?

Median gross rent is $2,513/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017351001?

7.9% of residents in tract 25017351001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,956.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017351001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 1th, minority 39th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 25017351001 considered part of Spring Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017351001 fall within Spring Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25017351001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017351001 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017351001 compare to Somerville overall?

Tract 25017351001 scores 7.5/10, lower than the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25017351001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Somerville

Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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