Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
The Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Newton
Tract 25017368600 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,230 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
25017368600 is a census tract in the The Island area of Waltham, MA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,526
Renter share67.5%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$113,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newton and the region
Centroid at 42.3624, -71.2405 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Island scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,036 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
4.9
How The Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 59%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 81Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2014)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Island
This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Court records carry 81 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Average gross rent is $2,036, 10% below the Waltham average. The worst year on record was 2014, when 1.6% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Newton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017368600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017368600?
Census tract 25017368600 in the The Island neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017368600?
Median gross rent is $2,036/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017368600?
8.4% of residents in tract 25017368600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,230.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017368600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 6th, minority 56th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 25017368600 considered part of The Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017368600 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017368600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 81 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 25017368600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.27% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017368600 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017368600 compare to Newton overall?
Tract 25017368600 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Newton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25017368600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newton
Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
The Bleachery
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Central Square
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Pigeon Hill
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
South Side
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Banks Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
The Bleachery
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Prospectville
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cedarwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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