Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
The Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton
Tract 25017374700 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,700 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 25017374700 covers part of the The Island area of Newton, MA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,700. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,874
Renter share40.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$171,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newton and the region
Centroid at 42.3500, -71.2483 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Island scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,107 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9
How The Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 7%Grade B
- 53%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2013)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 2.9%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Island
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2/10. Cost burden runs 52% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 17 evictions over 5 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally.
At $2,107 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Newton commands. Filings peaked in 2013 at 0.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Newton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017374700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017374700?
Census tract 25017374700 in the The Island neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017374700?
Median gross rent is $2,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017374700?
8.1% of residents in tract 25017374700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,700.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017374700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 34th, minority 46th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 25017374700 considered part of The Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017374700 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017374700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017374700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.43% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017374700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017374700 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017374700 compare to Newton overall?
Tract 25017374700 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Newton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017374700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newton
Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Newton Highlands
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Bemis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Cleveland Circle
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Night Caps Corner
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Thompsonville
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Oak Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Nonantum
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Thompsonville
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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