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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,480 of 84,120 nationally

Nonantum Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton

Tract 25017373400 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,520 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 25017373400, home to 3,520 residents in Nonantum in Newton, scores 5.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #42,434 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,232 monthly, set against $137,656 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 18% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$137,656

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Nonantum
Moderate
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 19 tracts In Newton
High
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileBottomTop
#302 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileBottomTop
#1,482 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newton and the region

Centroid at 42.3475, -71.2020 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nonantum scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,232 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9

How Nonantum compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nonantum risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 373400Newton: 4.44.4Newtonparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.16.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 5Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak (2012)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250173734002012: 2 filings (0.35/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nonantum

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 0.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.4% of renter households in 2012.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017373400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017373400?

Census tract 25017373400 in the Nonantum neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017373400?

Median gross rent is $3,232/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017373400?

4.9% of residents in tract 25017373400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,520.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017373400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 10th, minority 32th, housing 32th.

Q5

Is tract 25017373400 considered part of Nonantum?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017373400 fall within Nonantum (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017373400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 25017373400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.31% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017373400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 25017373400 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 25017373400 compare to Newton overall?

Tract 25017373400 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Newton at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25017373400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newton

Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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