Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally
Bugg Village Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025000401 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,898 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 25025000401 sits in the Bugg Village area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.2/10. Population here is 4,898. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 55%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,846
Renter share89.4%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$75,366
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3439, -71.1493 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bugg Village scores 9.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,769 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Bugg Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 57%Grade B
- 43%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 45Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2015)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 120% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 18Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bugg Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bugg Village
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.3 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. Average gross rent is $1,769, 18% below the Boston average. The filing record is not thin: 45 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025000401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000401?
Census tract 25025000401 in the Bugg Village neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025000401?
Median gross rent is $1,769/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000401?
23.2% of residents in tract 25025000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,898.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 46th, minority 50th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 25025000401 considered part of Bugg Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000401 fall within Bugg Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025000401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025000401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.40% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025000401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025000401 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025000401 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025000401 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025000401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Germantown
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Downtown Crossing
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Mount Ida
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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