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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Bugg Village Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 10,343 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.6/10 · range 7.4–9.5

Bugg Village is a 3-tract neighborhood of Boston, MA, population 10,343. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.6/10, in the High tier. Against a Boston baseline of 30.6%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 7.4 to 9.5. A 2.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. 19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Filings are well documented here: 64 across 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 0.7% of renter households. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

At $1,952 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Boston commands. Recent filings have not receded much: 0.5% in 2016 against a 0.7% peak.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.6
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Bugg Village vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.7% +49%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,952 -9%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$81,977 -13%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
23.4% +39%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
82.6% +28%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bugg Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7.4–9.5

Why Bugg Village scores 8.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
83% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
23.4% below poverty line · Range 3.7–10.0 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Bugg Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bugg Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.6Bugg VillageNeighborhood8.1Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bugg Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 7.4 to 9.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Bugg Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025000603 9.5 1,650 64% $1,690
25025000401 9.2 4,898 38% $1,769
25025000402 7.4 3,795 47% $2,303
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 52

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bugg Village

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 64Total filings (sum)
  • 0.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak year (2015)
  • 0.46%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 99Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly observed
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.49×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bugg Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bugg Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bugg Village?

Bugg Village scores 8.6/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bugg Village compare to Boston overall?

Bugg Village scores 0.5 points higher than Boston overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,952 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bugg Village?

Average gross rent in Bugg Village is $1,952/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bugg Village residents are renters?

83% of Bugg Village households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 10,343 residents.
Q5

Is Bugg Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Bugg Village sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bugg Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bugg Village is census tract 25025000603 (score 9.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 9.5, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Bugg Village for landlords?

Bugg Village carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bugg Village?

Bugg Village has 10,137 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.5%), Hispanic / Latino (15.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bugg Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bugg Village.

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