Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Allston Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025000804 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,224 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25025000804 (Lower Allston in Boston, Massachusetts) comes in at 6.6/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 89% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,346 a month against an average household income of $81,853 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,211
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$81,853
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3586, -71.1309 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Allston scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$2,346 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Lower Allston compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 89%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 47Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Allston. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Allston
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025000804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000804?
Census tract 25025000804 in the Lower Allston neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025000804?
Median gross rent is $2,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000804?
21.2% of residents in tract 25025000804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,224.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 18th, minority 62th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 25025000804 considered part of Lower Allston?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000804 fall within Lower Allston (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025000804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025000804 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025000804 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025000804 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025000804 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Pill Hill
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
7.6
/ 10 · High
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