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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Allston Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025000804 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,224 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 25025000804 covers part of the Lower Allston area of Boston, MA, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,224 residents. Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, around a third of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 44% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,211
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$81,853

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lower Allston
Very High
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 206 tracts In Boston
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Elevated
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#111 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3586, -71.1309 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Allston scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$2,346 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Lower Allston compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Allston risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.8This tracttract 0008048.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 47Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Allston. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Allston

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $81,853, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.9 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9.

Average gross rent is $2,346, 9% above the Boston average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025000804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000804?

Census tract 25025000804 in the Lower Allston neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025000804?

Median gross rent is $2,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000804?

21.2% of residents in tract 25025000804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,224.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 18th, minority 62th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 25025000804 considered part of Lower Allston?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000804 fall within Lower Allston (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025000804 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025000804 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025000804 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025000804 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025000804 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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