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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025010404 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,585 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

25025010404 is a census tract in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA. It scores 9.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,585. Severe burden reaches 61%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 67% Stable renters 22% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,189
Renter share89.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate42.3%
Median income$29,779

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 19 tracts In Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
Elevated
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 206 tracts In Boston
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#45 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3420, -71.0886 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
42.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$2,139 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0104048.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 83Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2015)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25025010404
Filings dropped 53% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 17Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.27×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. Annualized rent equals 86% of average household income of $29,779, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. SNAP participation runs 29.4% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 83 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 2.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025010404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025010404?

Census tract 25025010404 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025010404?

Median gross rent is $2,139/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025010404?

42.3% of residents in tract 25025010404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,585.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025010404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 1th, minority 62th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 25025010404 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025010404 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025010404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025010404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.36% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025010404 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025010404 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025010404 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025010404 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025010404 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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