Within neighborhood
72
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025080801 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,133 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 9.5/10, tract 25025080801 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,133 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 58%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,109
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate42.9%
Median income$38,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3346, -71.0962 · click any tract to drill in
Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
42.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$713 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 367Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2016)
- 84Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 79Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.8%Housing insecurity
- 17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.7%Food insecurity
- 39.5%SNAP enrollment
- 21.5%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 25.0%Frequent mental distress
- 36.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
Average gross rent is $713, 67% below the Boston average. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Food insecurity runs 35.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Cost burden runs 42% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County. The filing record is not thin: 367 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.9% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025080801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025080801?
Census tract 25025080801 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025080801?
Median gross rent is $713/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025080801?
42.9% of residents in tract 25025080801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,133.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025080801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 79th, minority 84th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 25025080801 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025080801 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025080801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 367 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025080801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.75% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025080801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025080801 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025080801 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025080801 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025080801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Related
Explore the geography around tract 25025080801
Parent city ↑
Boston
8.1 / 10
Parent county ↑
Suffolk County
Parent state ↑
Massachusetts
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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