Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025080601 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,572 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

25025080601 is a census tract in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA. It scores 9.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,572. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 26% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units656

Renter share75.0%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate55.9%

Median income$23,693

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3334, -71.0880 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

55.9% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$973 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Boston

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Boston

8.0

How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

192Total filings over 5 yrs
4.60%Avg annual filing rate
5.1%Peak (2012)
40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

98Total filings 2020-21
2.1Avg monthly (observed)
3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
0.67×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.4%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
34.1%Food insecurity
38.5%SNAP enrollment
22.8%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
26.8%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Cost burden runs 66% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. At $973 a month, rents run 55% under what the rest of Boston commands.

The poverty rate is 56%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $23,693 and the ratio lands at 49%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

SNAP participation runs 38.5% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Food insecurity runs 34.1% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025080601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025080601?

Census tract 25025080601 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25025080601?

Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025080601?

55.9% of residents in tract 25025080601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,572.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025080601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 33th, minority 78th, housing 78th.

Is tract 25025080601 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025080601 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025080601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 192 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025080601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.60% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25025080601 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25025080601 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25025080601 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025080601 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25025080601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org