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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Waterfront Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025040801 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,129 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 25025040801 sits in the Waterfront area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. Population here is 4,129. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.3/10.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 31% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,132
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$100,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Waterfront
Very High
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 206 tracts In Boston
Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Low
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#510 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3789, -71.0519 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterfront scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,795 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Waterfront compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterfront risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.2This tracttract 0408018.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 221Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak (2013)
  • 45Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25025040801
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 31Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.19×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterfront

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. At $1,795 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Boston commands. Court records carry 221 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

It sits 0.7 points below the Suffolk County average of 7.9. The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.1% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $100,806.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025040801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025040801?

Census tract 25025040801 in the Waterfront neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025040801?

Median gross rent is $1,795/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025040801?

10.3% of residents in tract 25025040801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,129.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025040801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 75th, minority 61th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 25025040801 considered part of Waterfront?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025040801 fall within Waterfront (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025040801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025040801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.87% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025040801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025040801 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025040801 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025040801 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025040801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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