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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025070801 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,049 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 9.5/10, tract 25025070801 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,049 residents. Against Suffolk County at 47.0%, 72% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 24% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units595
Renter share85.5%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$44,811

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 19 tracts In Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#38 of 206 tracts In Boston
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#22 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3400, -71.0825 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$2,162 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0708018.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 33Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.58×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Annualized rent equals 58% of average household income of $44,811, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.9/10.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. SNAP participation runs 24.5% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #2,657 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 3.3 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070801?

Census tract 25025070801 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025070801?

Median gross rent is $2,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070801?

35.5% of residents in tract 25025070801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,049.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 6th, minority 49th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 25025070801 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070801 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025070801 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025070801 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025070801 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025070801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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