Within neighborhood
38
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
Nubian Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025081400 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,424 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Eviction risk in the Nubian Square area of Boston centers on tract 25025081400, which scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,424 residents. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.
About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,586 monthly, set against $73,375 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,244
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate31.9%
Median income$73,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3278, -71.0938 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nubian Square scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
31.9% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$1,586 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Nubian Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 202Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2012)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 113Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nubian Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.3%Food insecurity
- 27.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nubian Square
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 202 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.0% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025081400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025081400?
Census tract 25025081400 in the Nubian Square neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025081400?
Median gross rent is $1,586/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025081400?
31.9% of residents in tract 25025081400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025081400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 8th, minority 75th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 25025081400 considered part of Nubian Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025081400 fall within Nubian Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025081400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 202 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025081400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.56% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025081400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025081400 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025081400 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025081400 scores 6.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025081400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Pill Hill
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
7.6
/ 10 · High
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