Dorchester Center Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025092400 ·
Suffolk County, MA · pop 6,136 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 25025092400, home to 6,136 residents in the Dorchester Center area of Boston, scores 7.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #3,643 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,238 monthly, set against $56,528 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%Stable renters 35%Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,100
Renter share78.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$56,528
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80th percentile
#2 of 6 tracts In Dorchester Center
High
Within parent city
80th percentile
#42 of 206 tracts In Boston
High
Within county
82th percentile
#42 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
97th percentile
#52 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.2960, -71.0850 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dorchester Center scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Dorchester Center compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
93%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
99%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
666Total filings over 5 yrs
8.29%Avg annual filing rate
9.4%Peak (2014)
139Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2012 to 2016
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
258Total filings 2020-21
5.5Avg monthly (observed)
10.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.52×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dorchester Center. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
31.2%Housing insecurity
20.9%Utility-shutoff threat
36.0%Food insecurity
42.3%SNAP enrollment
19.8%Transit barriers
11.6%No health insurance
21.2%Frequent mental distress
36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dorchester Center
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 31.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025092400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025092400?
Census tract 25025092400 in the Dorchester Center neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025092400?
Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025092400?
24.1% of residents in tract 25025092400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,136.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025092400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 96th, minority 99th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 25025092400 considered part of Dorchester Center?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025092400 fall within Dorchester Center (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025092400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 666 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025092400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.29% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025092400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025092400 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025092400 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025092400 scores 6.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025092400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.