Lower Mills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025100900 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,440 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 25025100900 covers part of the Lower Mills area of Boston, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.2740, -71.0742 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mills scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lower Mills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 17%Grade B
- 83%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 209Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2012)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 61Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mills
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Suffolk County average of 7.9. The filing record is not thin: 209 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,847, 14% below the Boston average. The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $114,034.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 25025100900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025100900?
What is the average rent in tract 25025100900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025100900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025100900?
Is tract 25025100900 considered part of Lower Mills?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025100900?
Did eviction filings in tract 25025100900 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 25025100900 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 25025100900 compare to Boston overall?
Was tract 25025100900 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.