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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Mills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025100900 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,440 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 25025100900 covers part of the Lower Mills area of Boston, MA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 19% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,718
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$114,034

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lower Mills
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#184 of 206 tracts In Boston
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#209 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Very Low
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#604 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.2740, -71.0742 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Mills scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,847 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Lower Mills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Mills risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 1009008.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 209Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2012)
  • 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25025100900
Filings dropped 15% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 61Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.38×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Mills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Mills

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Suffolk County average of 7.9. The filing record is not thin: 209 evictions over 5 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $1,847, 14% below the Boston average. The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $114,034.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025100900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025100900?

Census tract 25025100900 in the Lower Mills neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025100900?

Median gross rent is $1,847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025100900?

4.0% of residents in tract 25025100900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,440.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025100900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 53th, minority 84th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 25025100900 considered part of Lower Mills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025100900 fall within Lower Mills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025100900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 209 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025100900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.85% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025100900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025100900 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025100900 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025100900 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025100900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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