2 census tracts · pop 10,696 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 4.2–7.1
Lower Mills is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Boston with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,696 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,583/month sits 26% lower than the Boston citywide average ($2,147).
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Mills vs BostonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lower Mills
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
819Total filings (sum)
7.36%Avg annual filing rate
10.3%Peak year (2013)
7.36%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
283Total filings 2020-21
3.3Avg monthly observed
7.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.43×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Mills
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
23.6%Housing insecurity
16.8%Utility shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
33.3%SNAP enrollment
7.2%No health insurance
32.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lower Mills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Mills?
Lower Mills scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lower Mills compare to Boston overall?
Lower Mills scores 1.2 points lower than Boston overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,583 vs $2,147.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lower Mills?
Average gross rent in Lower Mills is $1,583/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lower Mills residents are renters?
55% of Lower Mills households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 10,696 residents.
Q5
Is Lower Mills a high social-vulnerability area?
Lower Mills sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lower Mills have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Mills is census tract 25025101002 (score 7.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 7.1, a spread of 2.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Lower Mills for landlords?
Lower Mills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Mills?
Lower Mills has 11,050 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (67.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (11%), Hispanic / Latino (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
