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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Gardner Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25027707400 · Worcester County, MA · pop 5,066

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 25027707400 reflects conditions in Gardner in Worcester County, Massachusetts. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,302 monthly, set against $71,878 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 11% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,099
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$71,878

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Gardner
Very Low
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#570 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gardner and the region

Centroid at 42.5926, -72.0234 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gardner scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gardner
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,302 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gardner
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gardner
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gardner
6.4

How Gardner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gardner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 707400Gardner: 5.85.8Gardnerparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2015)
  • 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gardner

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gardner, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Worcester County average of 6.0 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 24 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027707400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027707400?

Census tract 25027707400 in Gardner scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027707400?

Median gross rent is $1,302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027707400?

5.4% of residents in tract 25027707400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,066.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027707400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 8th, minority 20th, housing 46th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027707400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027707400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.62% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027707400 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027707400 compare to Gardner overall?

Tract 25027707400 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Gardner at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gardner; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gardner

Top eight tracts in Gardner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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