Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milford
Tract 25027745100 · Worcester County, MA · pop 6,021 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 25027745100 in the Lincoln Square area of Hopedale, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,171
Renter share23.2%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$115,216
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milford and the region
Centroid at 42.1230, -71.5314 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,819 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
5.0
How Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.2%Peak (2015)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 3.4%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.1/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Worcester County average of 5.8.
Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.4% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027745100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027745100?
Census tract 25027745100 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027745100?
Median gross rent is $1,819/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027745100?
4.2% of residents in tract 25027745100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,021.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027745100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 73th, minority 8th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 25027745100 considered part of Lincoln Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027745100 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027745100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027745100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.20% of renter households, peaking at 0.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027745100 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027745100 compare to Milford overall?
Tract 25027745100 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Milford at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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