Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milford
Tract 25027730402 · Worcester County, MA · pop 2,058 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 25027730402 sits in the Lincoln Square area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 2,058 residents. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Worcester County average of 44.4%.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units666
Renter share61.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$71,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milford and the region
Centroid at 42.2869, -71.7912 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,441 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
7.0
How Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2015)
- 20Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 25.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.7/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. SNAP participation runs 25.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 7.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027730402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730402?
Census tract 25027730402 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027730402?
Median gross rent is $1,441/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730402?
10.9% of residents in tract 25027730402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,058.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 83th, minority 68th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 25027730402 considered part of Lincoln Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027730402 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.97% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027730402 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027730402 compare to Milford overall?
Tract 25027730402 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Milford at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milford
Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Webster Square
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25027732002
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Beaver Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Fay Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Beaver Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Redwood Hills
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Webster Square
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Main South
8
/ 10 · High
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