Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milford
Tract 25027744300 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,174 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
25027744300 is a census tract in the Lincoln Square area of Milford, MA. It scores 6.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,174 residents. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Worcester County average of 44.4%.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,681
Renter share68.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$64,630
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milford and the region
Centroid at 42.1397, -71.5195 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,675 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
5.9
How Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.0%Peak (2015)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.2%Food insecurity
- 25.7%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 35.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.2/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 25.7% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.1/10. At $1,675 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Milford commands. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027744300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027744300?
Census tract 25027744300 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027744300?
Median gross rent is $1,675/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027744300?
8.9% of residents in tract 25027744300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,174.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027744300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 71th, minority 65th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 25027744300 considered part of Lincoln Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027744300 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027744300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027744300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.02% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027744300 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027744300 compare to Milford overall?
Tract 25027744300 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Milford at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milford
Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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