7 census tracts · pop 29,850 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10
· range 4.8–8
Lincoln Square spans 7 census tracts of Milford, MA and houses 29,850 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 32.3% citywide, putting Lincoln Square 25.1% over its own city.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.8 to 8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
SNAP participation is 28.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,562, 17% below the Milford average of $1,889.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Court records carry 172 eviction filings across its 5 observed tracts.
The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 8.8% of renter households. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $71,239. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
7 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Square vs MilfordHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lincoln Square
Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
172Total filings (sum)
3.51%Avg annual filing rate
8.8%Peak year (2015)
3.51%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Square
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.1%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
27.8%SNAP enrollment
9.4%No health insurance
33.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lincoln Square
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Square?
Lincoln Square scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lincoln Square compare to Milford overall?
Lincoln Square scores 0.7 points higher than Milford overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,562 vs $1,889.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lincoln Square?
Average gross rent in Lincoln Square is $1,562/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lincoln Square residents are renters?
56% of Lincoln Square households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Milford). The neighborhood has 29,850 residents.
Q5
Is Lincoln Square a high social-vulnerability area?
Lincoln Square sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lincoln Square have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Square is census tract 25027731900 (score 8/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 8, a spread of 3.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Lincoln Square for landlords?
Lincoln Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Milford as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Square?
Lincoln Square has 30,400 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.6%), Hispanic / Latino (30.3%), Other / Multiracial (8.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
