Brownell Holmes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 53.9% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 37.5% against 14.2% nationally.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. Set annual rent against average income of $30,625 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against the Genesee County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Flint. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $926, close to the Flint average. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.