8 census tracts · pop 15,297 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.3–7.3
Brownell Holmes is a 8-tract neighborhood of Flint, MI, population 15,297. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Flint baseline of 34.3%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
30.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 34.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.5/10. Scores across the 8 constituent tracts range from 5.3 to 7.3. A 2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
Average gross rent is $849, 7% below the Flint average of $915. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Flint, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.
For a like-for-like read, Carriage Town and Civic Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $34,173.
48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
8 tracts · population-weighted
Brownell Holmes vs FlintHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brownell Holmes
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
34.1%Housing insecurity
29.9%Utility shutoff threat
49.0%Food insecurity
55.9%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
49.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Brownell Holmes
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Brownell Holmes?
Brownell Holmes scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Brownell Holmes compare to Flint overall?
Brownell Holmes scores 1.8 points higher than Flint overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $849 vs $915.
Q3
What is the average rent in Brownell Holmes?
Average gross rent in Brownell Holmes is $849/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Brownell Holmes residents are renters?
48% of Brownell Holmes households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Flint). The neighborhood has 15,297 residents.
Q5
Is Brownell Holmes a high social-vulnerability area?
Brownell Holmes sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Brownell Holmes have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Brownell Holmes is census tract 26049010304 (score 7.3/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 7.3, a spread of 2 points.
Q7
How safe is Brownell Holmes for landlords?
Brownell Holmes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flint as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Brownell Holmes?
Brownell Holmes has 15,258 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (74.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
