Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Brownell Holmes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

Tract 26049000100 · Genesee County, MI · pop 2,312 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up Brownell Holmes in Flint, census tract 26049000100 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $747 a month against an average household income of $34,282 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 14% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units919

Renter share47.0%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate27.0%

Median income$34,282

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Flint and the region

Centroid at 43.0723, -83.7231 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brownell Holmes scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Flint

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

27.0% poverty · this tract

6.8

Supply constraint

$747 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Flint

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Flint

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Flint

5.0

How Brownell Holmes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brownell Holmes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

33.4%Housing insecurity
29.6%Utility-shutoff threat
49.5%Food insecurity
57.1%SNAP enrollment
24.6%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
22.0%Frequent mental distress
51.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brownell Holmes

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Flint eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Genesee County average of 6.0 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26049000100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049000100?

Census tract 26049000100 in the Brownell Holmes neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26049000100?

Median gross rent is $747/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26049000100?

27.0% of residents in tract 26049000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,312.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26049000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 96th, minority 95th, housing 24th.

Is tract 26049000100 considered part of Brownell Holmes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049000100 fall within Brownell Holmes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26049000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26049000100 compare to Flint overall?

Tract 26049000100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Flint at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flint eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26049000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flint

Top eight tracts in Flint ranked by composite eviction-risk score.