Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Brownell Holmes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

Tract 26049000300 · Genesee County, MI · pop 2,042 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 26049000300 covers part of the Brownell Holmes area of Flint, MI, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 22% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units834

Renter share48.7%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate33.3%

Median income$38,462

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Flint and the region

Centroid at 43.0641, -83.7239 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brownell Holmes scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Flint

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

33.3% poverty · this tract

8.3

Supply constraint

$849 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Flint

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Flint

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Flint

5.0

How Brownell Holmes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brownell Holmes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

36.1%Housing insecurity
31.3%Utility-shutoff threat
51.2%Food insecurity
58.0%SNAP enrollment
25.6%Transit barriers
12.7%No health insurance
23.4%Frequent mental distress
49.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brownell Holmes

SNAP participation runs 58.0% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 31.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Genesee County average of 45.3%.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8.3/10. Against the Genesee County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $849, close to the Flint average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 26049000300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049000300?

Census tract 26049000300 in the Brownell Holmes neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26049000300?

Median gross rent is $849/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26049000300?

33.3% of residents in tract 26049000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,042.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26049000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 85th, minority 95th, housing 56th.

Is tract 26049000300 considered part of Brownell Holmes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049000300 fall within Brownell Holmes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26049000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26049000300 compare to Flint overall?

Tract 26049000300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Flint at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flint eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26049000300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flint

Top eight tracts in Flint ranked by composite eviction-risk score.